The terms of the Treaty of Hudaybiyyah were, by any conventional military or political reading, a humiliation. The Muslims would not enter Mecca that year. They would turn around and go home. Any Meccan who converted to Islam and fled to Medina would be returned to Mecca. Any Muslim who defected to Mecca would not be returned. The truce would last ten years, during which both sides would refrain from hostilities. When the Prophet dictated the treaty, he agreed to remove the words 'Muhammad, Messenger of God' from the document at the Quraysh's insistence, signing simply as 'Muhammad son of Abdullah.' Ali ibn Abi Talib refused to erase the title. The Prophet erased it himself.
The companions were devastated. They had come in pilgrim garments, their hearts set on the Kaaba, their sacrificial animals ready. Turning back felt like defeat. Umar confronted Abu Bakr: "Did he not tell us we would enter the Sacred Mosque?" Abu Bakr's answer was precise: "He did not say this year."
And then, on the road home, the revelation came: "We have granted you a conspicuous victory" 48:1. Not a partial victory. Not a moral victory. The Arabic word mubeen means clear, obvious, conspicuous — a victory so evident it cannot be denied. The companions were baffled. Where was the victory? They had not prayed at the Kaaba. They had not entered Mecca. They had signed what looked like a one-sided treaty. How was this triumph?
God's answer unfolds across the next twenty-eight verses, and it is a masterclass in strategic patience. The victory was not military. It was political, spiritual, and demographic. The ten-year truce removed the constant threat of Qurayshi aggression, freeing the Muslims to preach, trade, travel, and convert tribes across Arabia without fear of annihilation. In the two years between Hudaybiyyah and the conquest of Mecca, more people entered Islam than in all the previous eighteen years combined. The treaty opened doors that swords never could.
"That God may forgive you your sin, past and to come, and complete His favors upon you, and guide you in a straight path" 48:2. The victory was not merely for the community. It was for the Prophet personally — a divine guarantee that his mission would succeed, his sins would be forgiven, and God's favour upon him would be made complete. And then: "And help you with an unwavering support" 48:3. Three verses in, and God has already listed five consequences of this 'defeat': victory, forgiveness, completed favour, guidance, and unwavering support.
The Quraysh thought they had negotiated from strength. They had negotiated themselves into irrelevance. Within two years, they would violate the treaty by attacking a Muslim-allied tribe, giving the Prophet the legal justification to march on Mecca with ten thousand men. He entered the city he had been exiled from — without a battle, without a siege, without bloodshed — and the Quraysh surrendered en masse. The conquest of Mecca was not born at the gates of the city. It was born at the negotiating table of Hudaybiyyah, in a treaty that looked like surrender and was, in God's own words, a conspicuous victory.